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251010 [BTC.D] Bitcoin Dominance

<Bitcoin Dominance Explained>

This represents the percentage share of Bitcoin within the entire cryptocurrency market.

  • It is an essential metric for understanding the overall movement of capital, including trends, bullish/bearish sentiment, and fund flows between Bitcoin and altcoins.


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<Current Bitcoin Dominance Status>

Historically, during bull markets, Bitcoin dominance typically rises in tandem with Bitcoin's price increase.

  • Near peak levels, when Bitcoin consolidates, Bitcoin dominance often drops significantly, heralding an altcoin bull run.

  • Ultimately, the typical structure involves a synchronised movement of Bitcoin rising + dominance rising first, followed by an altcoin bull run. However, until now, the tendency has often been the opposite [Red Box].

  • Nevertheless, during this recent decline, the direction has synchronised somewhat with Bitcoin, resembling the pattern of past bull markets [Blue Box].

  • Assuming the recent Bitcoin rise marked a peak, it is not inconceivable that a bull market for altcoins could follow Bitcoin's bull run within a short timeframe.


<Future Outlook>

However, considering the current market momentum and conditions,

  • a further Bitcoin rally + dominance increase may precede Bitcoin reaching a new high, with dominance rising to around 60-63%. 

  • Bitcoin then consolidates at a level slightly below its peak, concurrently with the commencement of an altcoin bull run.

  • This bull run is expected to conclude with Bitcoin's dominance falling to the 38–42% range.


 
 
 

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